Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 5.960159 6.963304 8.049906 9.310225 10.727489 12.267649 14.063483
2026-01-11 4.558253 5.877683 7.419777 9.339066 11.646480 14.313368 17.609739
2026-01-18 3.576403 4.993547 6.752734 9.064455 11.986450 15.519369 20.072175
2026-01-25 2.907539 4.354621 6.247533 8.852391 12.284862 16.590256 22.327061
2026-02-01 2.390680 3.823009 5.789270 8.610162 12.467060 17.462298 24.312307
2026-02-08 1.990581 3.388118 5.395666 8.388634 12.620139 18.259778 26.192170
2026-02-15 1.652600 2.991457 5.001658 8.110908 12.647765 18.857597 27.798171
2026-02-22 1.458476 2.787558 4.861586 8.172539 13.134544 20.079364 30.273269
2026-03-01 1.287559 2.595653 4.714786 8.201470 13.560301 21.218274 32.661950
2026-03-08 1.149190 2.438575 4.603112 8.266832 14.030949 22.426987 35.179728
2026-03-15 1.018969 2.276773 4.464518 8.272051 14.400058 23.491842 37.518073
2026-03-22 0.943013 2.204522 4.467253 8.500324 15.117532 25.088119 40.671443
2026-03-29 0.861479 2.112088 4.428356 8.659527 15.739525 26.575777 43.735163
2026-04-05 0.771118 1.988680 4.321117 8.692023 16.155259 27.762189 46.387676
2026-04-12 0.655447 1.793424 4.060092 8.433287 16.072801 28.168373 47.866628
2026-04-19 0.562527 1.631760 3.844016 8.233408 16.069373 28.686938 49.521170
2026-04-26 0.479297 1.477189 3.623812 8.005155 15.998158 29.085428 50.991202
2026-05-03 0.409182 1.340778 3.424171 7.796468 15.943099 29.498836 52.486805
2026-05-10 0.344265 1.204207 3.207544 7.534929 15.774328 29.711304 53.659707
2026-05-17 0.311589 1.147174 3.156296 7.592960 16.179993 30.885252 56.404236
2026-05-24 0.280245 1.087713 3.092826 7.620202 16.527560 31.969476 59.029459
2026-05-31 0.254348 1.038950 3.048302 7.681753 16.939127 33.172453 61.878212
2026-06-07 0.227839 0.982712 2.979697 7.686668 17.241566 34.194584 64.452006